Over the next 5 years, the National Economic Development Section of the Development Strategy will increase GDP per capita by 1.6 times (from $1,750 to $2,800) and per capita income – by $4,000 until 2030.

To achieve this goal, the following has been planned for 2022.

Gross domestic product

A macroeconomic forecast (macromodel) with several scenarios for the next 5 years will be developed in cooperation with international financial institutions. Wherein:

•  increasing GDP to $100 billion and ensure high incomes;
•  assessment of the impact on the economy in the implementation of structural reforms;
•  providing energy resources needed for economic growth;
•  forecasting changes in foreign markets and mitigating the impact of external factors on economic growth;
•  identification of “growth points” by determining the contribution of regions and industries to economic growth, etc.

Deputy PM Jamshid Kuchkarov has been tasked to develop specific measures in key macroeconomic areas by August 2022.

A forecast of key macroeconomic indicators for 2023-2025 will be developed, including:

•  economic growth above the average of 6.5 percent;
•  to keep inflation at the target level of 5% from 2024;
•  mutual coordination of monetary, fiscal policies and structural reforms.

Inflation

It is planned to take measures to achieve a stable inflation target by reducing the monetary factors of inflation. Wherein:

•  maintaining stable monetary conditions, including ensuring that the growth rate of credit investments in the economy (16-18%) is commensurate with the growth rate of nominal GDP;
•  ensuring the formation of real positive interest rates of 2-3% on money market operations;
•  Strengthening the impact of the central bank's monetary instruments on inflation;
•  improvement of communication policy aimed at reducing inflation expectations in the economy.