Central Bank comments on the state of soum’s exchange rate in the context of pandemic

As a result, in April there was an exchange rate adjustment of 5.8%. In May-June, the exchange rate remained relatively stable and the level of devaluation during this period amounted to about 0.4%

By the end of the second quarter, the real effective exchange rate of the soum began to converge to its trend after the March strengthening, which was formed due to the weakening of the currencies of Uzbekistan’s main trading partners. 

At the same time, as the regulator notes, the weakening of the real exchange rate in May and June occurred as a result of a seasonal decrease in inflation, while maintaining the relative stability of the nominal exchange rate of the national currency. 

Taking into account the pronounced seasonality of monthly inflation in the republic, a further slight weakening of the real exchange rate of the soum is expected in the coming months with the formation of a negative gap, the CB notes.