Uzhydromet forecasts intense heat across Uzbekistan in July

The weather agency warns that the most significant temperature spikes will hit the northern regions and desert zones.

July traditionally stands as the hottest period of the year in Uzbekistan, with typical daytime maximums ranging between 35–37 degrees Celsius, and up to 38–40 degrees Celsius in southern and desert areas. While the thermometer regularly reaches 40–42 degrees Celsius almost every year, extreme years have historically seen peaks as high as 47–50 degrees Celsius.

The first five days of the month are expected to offer relatively comfortable conditions, keeping daytime averages within 30–35 degrees Celsius, though the south will experience hotter conditions between 36–39 degrees Celsius. However, an intense heat wave will take hold by the end of the first decade of July, driving daytime mercury levels to 37–40 degrees Celsius, and up to 41–43 degrees Celsius in southern territories. For the remainder of the month, temperatures nationwide will fluctuate between 33–43 degrees Celsius, with localized peaks reaching 45 degrees Celsius in northern, southern, and desert areas.

This forecast aligns with a broader climatological shift noted by Uzhydromet, which highlights a steady increase in the number of days exceeding 40 degrees Celsius in recent years. For instance, Tashkent recorded a consecutive 14–day stretch of temperatures above 40 degrees Celsius in July 2019, a historic threshold that July 2025 closely neared.

An arid climate will dominate the country throughout the month, with total precipitation projected to fall below the multi-year average. While predominantly dry conditions are forecast, foothill and mountainous regions may experience brief intervals of localized showers and thunderstorms on select days.